The real story behind the value/growth rotation
- 07 April 2022 (5 min read)
Key Points
- The nature of rising interest rates is crucial in terms of understanding the potential impact on equities; real rates can be quite adverse for the asset class
- While one should pay attention to the sector composition of equity factors, currently it seems that rising interest rates explain factor rotation adequately
- Value tends to outperform growth in an environment of rising and high real rates
- The relationship between real rates and the rotation from growth to value stocks is structurally strong but cyclically weak
Disclaimer
This document is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment research or financial analysis relating to transactions in financial instruments as per MIF Directive (2014/65/EU), nor does it constitute on the part of AXA Investment Managers or its affiliated companies an offer to buy or sell any investments, products or services, and should not be considered as solicitation or investment, legal or tax advice, a recommendation for an investment strategy or a personalized recommendation to buy or sell securities.
It has been established on the basis of data, projections, forecasts, anticipations and hypothesis which are subjective. Its analysis and conclusions are the expression of an opinion, based on available data at a specific date.
All information in this document is established on data made public by official providers of economic and market statistics. AXA Investment Managers disclaims any and all liability relating to a decision based on or for reliance on this document. All exhibits included in this document, unless stated otherwise, are as of the publication date of this document.
Furthermore, due to the subjective nature of these opinions and analysis, these data, projections, forecasts, anticipations, hypothesis, etc. are not necessary used or followed by AXA IM’s portfolio management teams or its affiliates, who may act based on their own opinions. Any reproduction of this information, in whole or in part is, unless otherwise authorised by AXA IM, prohibited.
Risk Warning
The value of investments, and the income from them, can fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount originally invested.